文章摘要
吴娜娜,吴克俭.ABC评分、 AIMS65评分、格拉斯哥 -布拉奇福德评分对上消化道出血病人死亡的预测价值比较[J].安徽医药,2024,28(4):809-812.
ABC评分、 AIMS65评分、格拉斯哥 -布拉奇福德评分对上消化道出血病人死亡的预测价值比较
Comparison of the predictive value of ABC, AIMS65 and GBS scores on the death of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding
  
DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-6469.2024.04.037
中文关键词: 胃肠出血  ABC评分  AIMS65评分  格拉斯哥 -布拉奇福德评分  上消化道出血  预后
英文关键词: Gastrointestinal hemorrhage  ABC score  AIMS65 score  GBS score  Upper gastrointestinal bleeding  Prognosis
基金项目:
作者单位E-mail
吴娜娜 徐州医科大学研究生院江苏徐州 221004  
吴克俭 徐州医科大学附属医院消化内科江苏徐州 221006 laomike2002@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      目的比较 ABC(年龄、血液学、合并症)评分、 AIMS65评分、格拉斯哥 -布拉奇福德评分( GBS)预测急性上消化道出血(AUGIB)病人死亡方面的表现。方法回顾性收集 2018年 12月至 2022年 1月于徐州医科大学附属医院确诊为 AUGIB的 330例病人资料,根据病人住院期间的生存情况,分为存活组( 304例)和死亡组( 26例)。收集病人的一般资料和实验室检查结果,进行 ABC、AIMS65和 GBS,评估 3种评分对 AUGIB病人住院死亡的预测能力。结果两组病人的年龄、血清白蛋白( ALB)、国际标准化比值( INR)、 ABC评分、 AIMS65评分、 GBS及有无吸烟、恶性肿瘤、心衰、黑便、晕厥等的比较差异有统计学意义( P<0.05)。与存活组相比,死亡组病人的 ABC评分[9.50(7.50,12.00)比 3.00(2.00,5.00)]、 AIMS65评分、 GBS、INR[( 1.53(1.16,1.90)比1.03(0.96,1.16)]显著升高( P<0.05)。 logistic回归分析显示 ALB、INR、ABC评分是 AUGIB病人住院死亡的独立危险因素。 ROC曲线显示三种评分对 AUGIB病人住院死亡均有一定预测价值, ABC评分预测住院死亡的价值较高, AUC 95%CI为0.90(0.87,0.94)、 P<0.001,灵敏度为 84.6%,特异度为 90.5%;AIMS65评分和 GBS具有中等预测价值, AUC 95%CI分别为 0.84(0.80,0.88)、 P<0.001,0.82(0.78,0.86)、 P<0.001,灵敏度分别为 76.9%、69.2%,特异度分别为 81.6%、87.8%。结论 ABC评分对 AUGIB病人住院死亡的预测价值较好, AIMS65评分和 GBS的预测价值中等。
英文摘要:
      Objective To compare the predictive value of ABC, AIMS65 and GBS scores on the death of patients with Acute Upper Gas?trointestinal Bleeding (AUGIB). Methods Three hundred and thirty patients with AUGIB diagnosed in the Affiliated Hospital of XuzhouMedical University from December 2018 to January 2022 were retrospectively selected. The patients were assigned into survival groupand death group according to their survival during hospitalization. Then patients′general information and laboratory examination resultswere collected, and the ABC score, AIMS65 score and GBS score of the two groups were calculated. The predictive value of three scoreson the in-hospital death of AUGIB patients was estimated. Results Among the 330 AUGIB patients, 304 were survived and 26 were died.There were significant differences in age, ALB, INR, ABC score, AIMS65 score, GBS score, smoking, malignant tumor, heart failure, me?lena and syncope between the two groups (P < 0.05). Compared with the survival group, the ABC scores [9.50 (7.50, 12.00) vs. 3.00 (2.00, 5.00)], AIMS65 scores, GBS scores, and INR [1.53 (1.16,1.90) vs. 1.03 (0.96,1.16)] in the death group were significantly increased (P< 0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that ALB, INR and ABC scores were independent risk factors for the hospital death of patientswith AUGIB. The ROC curve showed that three scores had predictive value of the hospital death of patients with AUGIB. ABC score had ahigher predictive value of the hospital death of patients with AUGIB, the AUC 95%CI value of ABC was [0.90 (0.87, 0.94), P < 0.001], thesensitivity value was 84.6%, and the specificity value was 90.5%; AIMS65 score and GBS score had moderate predictive value, the AUC95%CI values of AIMS65 score and GBS score were [0.84 (0.80, 0.88), P < 0.001] and [0.82 (0.78, 0.86), P < 0.001], the sensitivity values were 76.9% and 69.2%, the specificity values were 81.6% and 87.8%, respectively. Conclusion ABC score has high predictive value ofhospital death of patients with AUGIB, and AIMS65 score and GBS score have moderate predictive value.
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